GEFS

This page has 0600 UTC GEFS data. Please click the links below for other runs of the GEFS.

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The maps that show the probability of a favorable environment for severe storms are NOT equivalent to the SPC forecast of the probability of severe storms within 25 miles of a point. Just because a favorable environment is likely to be in place does not mean severe weather will occur. A document describing how the probability of a favorable environment for severe storms is calculated will be linked at a later date. Always refer to the SPC for the official convective outlook.

Disclaimer: As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large error. Please refer to official NOAA/NWS forecasts for the latest weather information.